The streaming giant Netflix (NASDAQ:) is set to unveil its Q1 2026 financial results today, April 16, after the market close. Its shares have shown resilience this year, rising about 13.38% year-to-date.
Much of the stock’s momentum came after the company walked away from a planned acquisition of Netflix assets, a move investors welcomed. The failed deal also left Netflix with a sizable $2.8 billion termination payment.
Key highlights:
- A solid Q1 print after dropping its bid for Warner Bros (NASDAQ:). Discovery could restore investor confidence in the NFLX outlook.
- Analysts are mostly bullish on Netflix, 12 of 15 analysts tracked by Visible Alpha rate it as “buy,” while three are neutral. Their average price target of $118 implies roughly 11% upside from Tuesday’s close.
- Investors will be looking for Netflix to highlight content investment and advertisement revenue growth as key drivers in Thursday’s earnings report.
- The price hike could also push more users toward its ad-supported tier, though that revenue stream remains modest.
- Investors now expect Netflix to pivot toward sports and other live events to help grow its advertising revenue.
- During the quarter, the company broadened its live offerings, notably streaming a BTS concert from Seoul that attracted 18.4 million viewers worldwide and broadcasting the 2026 World Baseball Classic, which became the most-streamed baseball game on record.
- Netflix’s latest price increase has ignited online backlash, with long-time subscribers saying they are canceling after years of rising fees, Daily Mail reports.
Analysts Expectation:
- MoffettNathanson bumped its price target for Netflix (NFLX) to $120 (up from $115) and retained a Buy rating.
- KeyBanc raised its price target for Netflix (NFLX) to $115 from $108 and kept an Overweight rating.
- Guggenheim reiterated its Buy rating on Netflix (NFLX) and maintained a $130 price target.
NFLX Q1 2026 earnings after market (4:01 pm et) Thursday April 16, 2026
Analyst Ratings
SOURCE
BUY
HOLD
SELL
LSEG
41
12
0
TipRanks
30
10
0
Earnings Expectation
EPS
0.76 USD
Revenue
12.18 B USD
Expected Move by Option Expiration:
Options flow shows a large net positive open interest at 120 strike (320,550 contracts) and a net negative open interest at 80 strike (-69,916 contracts) across expiries from April 2026 to December 2028.
Note: All quarterly expiries between 2027 to 2028.
Technical Analysis Perspective:
- NFLX decisively broke above a downward trendline the week of Feb. 23, 2026.
- The stock rallied after a February bear trap—briefly trading below $80 before quickly recovering.
- NFLX is now testing a key resistance zone between $107.85 and $110.40; it held within that range in after-hours trading.
- A sustained breakout above $110.40 would likely target $114.50, with further upside potential toward $120.50.
- If NFLX fails to hold above $107.85, it would likely roll down toward $100.
Weekly Candlestick Chart
NFLX Seasonality Chart:
Since 2007, NFLX has seen April close with 0.78% decline in 50% of years and May with a 5.56% rise in 63% of years.
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Ali Merchant is a seasoned financial market professional with expertise in Technical Analysis, Treasury & Capital Markets, Trading, Sales, Research, Training, & Fund Management. He is the founder of www.twtlearning.com providing financial education, research and advisory services to fund & hedge fund managers and family offices.
He has been trading FX, FX options, US stocks & options, Indices, Commodities & Oil, and Metals Futures. He has a CMT charter, an AAPTA membership, and a CMT Canada membership. He has worked in various roles and organizations in North America and the GCC, such as ABN Amro bank, Thomson Reuters, Refinitiv, MAK Allen & Day Capital Partners, and Bridge Information Systems.
He is regarded as an excellent mentor and has trained more than 2000+ users in North America, Gulf countries & Asia on financial markets & products, active and passive trading, and technical analysis strategies. He emanated technical analysis daily and weekly reports for BridgeNews Chicago bureau and updated technical analysis reports on Bloomberg and Reuters while working with ABN Amro bank treasury & capital markets. Has moderated and produced technical analysis reports for Thomson Reuters (Refinitiv) users’ chat rooms and trained users on technical analysis techniques and models. Conducted TA & Global Markets outlook workshop with central banks, sovereign funds, global & regional banks & family offices.
