Bollinger bands are a volatility indicator, utilized by merchants to determine areas of assist and resistance and areas wherein an asset may be experiencing elevated or decreased volatility. Bollinger bands are calculated from three strains drawn onto a worth chart.
The primary is the easy shifting common (SMA) of an asset’s worth over a given interval – normally 20 days. The higher band is the SMA plus two commonplace deviations which have been multiplied by two, whereas the decrease band is the SMA minus two commonplace deviations which have been multiplied by two.
The precise methodology for calculating the completely different Bollinger bands is as follows:
- The higher band = 20-day SMA + (20-day commonplace deviation multiplied by 2)
- The decrease band = 20-day SMA – (20-day commonplace deviation multiplied by 2)
- The SMA is calculated by including up the closing costs in a set interval and dividing that quantity by the entire variety of intervals
Many merchants use Bollinger bands to point areas of market volatility – they usually assume that the extra the bands deviate from the SMA, the extra risky the underlying market. In distinction, if the bands are slender then many merchants take this to indicate that the underlying market worth is steady.
When the bands widen, merchants seek advice from it as a Bollinger bounce and consider that it’s indicative of an upcoming retracement. Narrowing bands are generally known as a Bollinger squeeze and that is taken to point an upcoming breakout within the underlying asset.
Bollinger bands are a lagging indicator, which some contemplate to be a downside. Which means they search to substantiate traits fairly than predict future market actions. Indicators which search to foretell future market actions are generally known as main indicators, and these embrace the relative energy index (RSI) or the stochastic oscillator.
Nonetheless, lagging indicators equivalent to Bollinger bands can be utilized to substantiate a development earlier than coming into a place, though that is most successfully performed along with different technical indicators. Which means a dealer would possibly miss out on the beginning of a development, however they nonetheless stand to revenue as soon as they’ve used a lagging indicator, or a group of lagging indicators, to substantiate the development.
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